Stoke City vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
73.8%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.2%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
10.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
17.2%
8.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jul. 2022 |
STA
2 - 0
STO
25%
24%
51%
|
73 | 57 | 16 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
CAO
0 - 2
STO
30%
26%
44%
|
73 | 64 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2022 |
STO
1 - 1
COV
45%
27%
28%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
MID
3 - 1
STO
41%
28%
31%
|
74 | 73 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
STO
1 - 0
QPR
47%
27%
27%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Jul. 2022 |
FLE
0 - 2
ROT
16%
22%
62%
|
52 | 71 | 19 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2022 |
BOL
4 - 2
FLE
65%
21%
14%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2022 |
FLE
2 - 3
SHW
18%
25%
57%
|
53 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2022 |
FLE
1 - 1
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2022 |
GIL
0 - 0
FLE
42%
26%
32%
|
53 | 54 | 1 | 0 |