Stoke City vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.9%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.1%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.9%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
18.1%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.1%
11%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
NTT
54%
26%
20%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
SWA
1 - 3
STO
52%
26%
22%
|
70 | 76 | 6 | +2 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
BIR
0 - 0
STO
34%
28%
39%
|
71 | 63 | 8 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
STO
2 - 1
FLE
65%
21%
15%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
STO
3 - 2
REA
42%
28%
30%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DON
0 - 0
OPA
25%
25%
50%
|
55 | 65 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2021 |
STA
1 - 0
DON
54%
24%
23%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
SHW
2 - 0
DON
51%
26%
22%
|
56 | 63 | 7 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2021 |
WAL
0 - 0
DON
28%
24%
49%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
DON
1 - 2
AFC
53%
25%
22%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | -1 |