Stoke City vs Aston Villa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.6%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
34.5%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+3%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2013 |
STO
0 - 2
MUD
9%
17%
74%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
HUL
0 - 0
STO
29%
29%
42%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
STO
3 - 2
CHL
12%
20%
68%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
STO
0 - 0
CAR
53%
26%
22%
|
83 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
EVE
4 - 0
STO
66%
21%
13%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Dec. 2013 |
ASV
0 - 3
MUD
12%
19%
69%
|
83 | 94 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2013 |
FUL
2 - 0
ASV
43%
24%
33%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | -1 |
| 04 Dec. 2013 |
SOU
2 - 3
ASV
42%
25%
34%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
ASV
0 - 0
SUN
56%
24%
21%
|
84 | 81 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2013 |
WBA
2 - 2
ASV
47%
24%
29%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | 0 |