Stoke City vs Accrington Stanley analysis


75	ELO	62
1.3%	Tilt	5.5%
760º	General ELO ranking	2378º
42º	Country ELO ranking	81º
ELO win probability

67%

Stoke City

19.1%

Draw

13.9%

Accrington Stanley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

67%
Win probability

                        
                    
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.1%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%

19.1%

Draw

0-0

4.7%

1-1

9%

2-2

4.3%

3-3

0.9%

4-4

0.1%

0

19.1%

13.9%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.6%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →

+2%

-14%

ELO progression

Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stoke City

	1% X% 2%	ELO	ELO Cont.	▵ELO	±ELO
22 Sep. 1888	STO 3 - 0 NOT 60% 22% 19%	75	69	6	0
15 Sep. 1888	ASV 5 - 1 STO 62% 21% 17%	74	82	8	+1
08 Sep. 1888	STO 0 - 2 WBA 38% 25% 37%	74	77	3	0
22 Feb. 1880	WOL 8 - 0 STO 55% 23% 22%	74	75	1	0