FA Cup 1/128
Global 7-5
Stockport County vs Bolton Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.2%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.5%
50.3%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.4%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.4%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stockport County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
STO
1 - 1
BRO
39%
26%
35%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
STO
61%
21%
18%
|
54 | 61 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
DOV
2 - 5
STO
19%
24%
57%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
STO
1 - 2
BAR
71%
18%
11%
|
55 | 41 | 14 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
2 - 1
STO
46%
26%
29%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Bolton Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 0
CRE
54%
25%
21%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
STO
61%
21%
18%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2021 |
ROC
0 - 3
BOL
40%
25%
36%
|
60 | 58 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
OPA
1 - 0
BOL
46%
27%
28%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
BOL
2 - 2
GIL
45%
27%
28%
|
61 | 60 | 1 | 0 |