Stirling Albion vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
59.7%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.8%
2-0
11.7%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.5%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.1%
17.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
73
1º
8º
1º
45
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stirling Albion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STR
1 - 1
STI
27%
26%
47%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
STI
2 - 1
BRA
62%
22%
16%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
STI
3 - 2
ALB
63%
22%
15%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
STI
33%
26%
40%
|
53 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
BLA
2 - 2
STI
42%
25%
33%
|
53 | 49 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
FOR
2 - 1
BLA
36%
26%
38%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2023 |
EAS
3 - 2
FOR
36%
27%
37%
|
47 | 43 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2023 |
BRA
1 - 1
FOR
44%
25%
31%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
0 - 0
STI
33%
26%
40%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 2023 |
FOR
1 - 1
STE
45%
25%
31%
|
47 | 48 | 1 | 0 |