III Liga Grupo 3. Jor. 23

Stilon Gorzów vs Stal Brzeg analysis

Stilon Gorzów Stal Brzeg
32 ELO 30
-2.8% Tilt 2.9%
5306º General ELO ranking 6150º
101º Country ELO ranking 123º
ELO win probability
49%
Stilon Gorzów
22.6%
Draw
28.4%
Stal Brzeg

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49%
Win probability
Stilon Gorzów
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.7%
2-0
6.8%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.8%
1-0
7.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.6%
28.4%
Win probability
Stal Brzeg
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.1%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stilon Gorzów
+35%
+5%
Stal Brzeg

Points and table prediction

Stilon Gorzów
Their league position
Stal Brzeg
CURR.POS.
12º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
16º
12º
37
18º
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
TS Polonia Bytom
75
75
100%
Rakow Czestochowa II
65
65
100%
Rekord Bielsko Biała
65
65
100%
Ślęza Wrocław
60
60
100%
Carina Gubin
54
54
100%
Górnik Zabrze II
51
51
100%
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
51
51
100%
Kluczbork
48
48
100%
Zielona Góra
47
47
100%
Pawłowice Śląskie
10º
46
46
10º
0%
Goczałkowice Zdrój
11º
46
46
11º
0%
Stilon Gorzów
12º
44
44
12º
100%
Warta Gorzów
13º
43
43
13º
100%
Stal Brzeg
14º
37
37
14º
100%
Polonia Nysa
15º
36
36
15º
100%
Miedz Legnica II
16º
30
30
16º
100%
Odra Wodzislaw Slaski
17º
28
28
17º
100%
Chrobry Glogow II
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stilon Gorzów
Stal Brzeg
Promotion
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stilon Gorzów
Stal Brzeg
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stilon Gorzów
Stilon Gorzów
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
WRO
Ślęza Wrocław
3 - 1
Stilon Gorzów
SGO
86%
10%
4%
32 50 18 0
25 Mar. 2023
SGO
Stilon Gorzów
0 - 0
Rakow Czestochowa II
RAK
17%
22%
61%
31 47 16 +1
18 Mar. 2023
GOR
Górnik Zabrze II
2 - 3
Stilon Gorzów
SGO
64%
19%
17%
29 37 8 +2
11 Mar. 2023
SGO
Stilon Gorzów
1 - 2
Chrobry Glogow II
MKC
51%
22%
28%
30 30 0 -1
04 Mar. 2023
GTG
Gwarek Tarnowskie Gory
1 - 2
Stilon Gorzów
SGO
63%
20%
18%
28 37 9 +2

Matches

Stal Brzeg
Stal Brzeg
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Apr. 2023
KLU
Kluczbork
6 - 2
Stal Brzeg
STB
74%
15%
11%
31 41 10 0
25 Mar. 2023
STB
Stal Brzeg
2 - 1
Ślęza Wrocław
WRO
8%
15%
77%
29 50 21 +2
18 Mar. 2023
RAK
Rakow Czestochowa II
1 - 2
Stal Brzeg
STB
79%
14%
7%
27 47 20 +2
11 Mar. 2023
STB
Stal Brzeg
3 - 3
Górnik Zabrze II
GOR
22%
21%
58%
27 37 10 0
05 Mar. 2023
MKC
Chrobry Glogow II
4 - 5
Stal Brzeg
STB
65%
18%
18%
26 30 4 +1
X