Steve Biko vs Armed Forces analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
35.4%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
7%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
13.8%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
21.8%
30.9%
Draw
0-0
13.6%
1-1
13.5%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
30.9%
33.8%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
9%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Steve Biko
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2016 |
REA
1 - 0
STE
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
BAN
1 - 1
STE
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 61 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2016 |
BRI
2 - 0
STE
46%
29%
26%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2016 |
STE
0 - 1
BOM
42%
30%
28%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
STE
1 - 0
SER
44%
30%
26%
|
61 | 59 | 2 | +2 |
Matches
Armed Forces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 1
REA
43%
29%
28%
|
63 | 63 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 2
SER
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 61 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2016 |
SAM
2 - 2
ARM
40%
30%
30%
|
64 | 62 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
GPA
0 - 0
ARM
50%
28%
22%
|
64 | 69 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 1
BRI
39%
29%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |