Stenhousemuir vs Forfar Athletic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.1%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
11%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.1%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+13%
-19%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
3º
9º
6º
45
4º
10º
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
5º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
73 | 76 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 62 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
51 | 52 |
3º
|
66% | |
|
4º
|
50 | 51 |
4º
|
66% | |
|
|
5º
|
45 | 46 |
5º
|
48% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 45 |
6º
|
38% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 45 |
7º
|
60.5% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 42 |
8º
|
58.5% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
58.5% | |
|
10º
|
36 | 36 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stenhousemuir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
ELG
2 - 1
STE
49%
24%
27%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 3
STE
42%
23%
34%
|
48 | 45 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
STE
1 - 1
BRA
48%
23%
29%
|
48 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STR
3 - 2
STE
34%
25%
41%
|
49 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
STE
2 - 2
EAS
59%
22%
20%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Forfar Athletic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Dec. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 0
ALB
44%
24%
31%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2022 |
DUN
4 - 0
FOR
74%
17%
9%
|
43 | 58 | 15 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 2022 |
DUM
2 - 2
FOR
66%
21%
13%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | 0 |
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 1
BRA
34%
24%
42%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2022 |
FOR
1 - 4
BLA
46%
24%
30%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -2 |