Stella vs Denguelé analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.3%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.8%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
27.7%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.6%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-46%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stella
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
STE
1 - 0
AFR
49%
28%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
STE
1 - 0
JCA
48%
28%
24%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
STE
2 - 1
ABE
43%
28%
29%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
AFA
1 - 1
STE
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
STE
2 - 2
OUR
45%
29%
26%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Denguelé
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2011 |
DEN
0 - 1
ABE
42%
28%
30%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
DEN
0 - 1
AFA
43%
29%
28%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2011 |
OUR
2 - 3
DEN
50%
26%
23%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
DEN
0 - 0
JCA
47%
28%
25%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
AFR
1 - 2
DEN
45%
28%
27%
|
64 | 64 | 0 | 0 |