Staphorst vs Urk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
49.4%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.4%
2-0
8%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
26.7%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
3.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.5%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+29%
-20%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
10º
17º
14º
42
2º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
63 | 66 |
1º
|
99.5% | |
|
2º
|
60 | 63 |
2º
|
90% | |
|
3º
|
59 | 62 |
3º
|
90.5% | |
|
5º
|
54 | 57 |
4º
|
35% | |
|
4º
|
56 | 57 |
5º
|
35% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 53 |
6º
|
34% | |
|
8º
|
51 | 52 |
7º
|
26% | |
|
7º
|
52 | 52 |
8º
|
28.5% | |
|
9º
|
47 | 50 |
9º
|
57.5% | |
|
11º
|
47 | 48 |
10º
|
27% | |
|
10º
|
47 | 48 |
11º
|
38.5% | |
|
12º
|
46 | 47 |
12º
|
30% | |
|
13º
|
45 | 46 |
13º
|
35.5% | |
|
|
14º
|
43 | 43 |
14º
|
52.5% | |
|
|
15º
|
42 | 43 |
15º
|
66.5% | |
|
16º
|
33 | 33 |
16º
|
100% | |
|
17º
|
22 | 22 |
17º
|
100% | |
|
18º
|
14 | 14 |
18º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
68.5% | 33.5% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
31.5% | 66.5% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Staphorst
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
RIJ
2 - 1
STA
47%
25%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
STA
1 - 0
IJS
57%
22%
21%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
EEM
2 - 1
STA
48%
25%
28%
|
48 | 49 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
AWC
1 - 2
STA
22%
22%
56%
|
48 | 38 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
STA
1 - 1
SPA
39%
26%
35%
|
48 | 50 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Urk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2023 |
URK
4 - 3
SPA
32%
26%
42%
|
45 | 51 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
ODI
1 - 1
URK
44%
23%
33%
|
45 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
URK
1 - 0
DEM
37%
25%
38%
|
43 | 48 | 5 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
DVS
1 - 0
URK
62%
20%
18%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2023 |
URK
6 - 4
STE
23%
23%
53%
|
42 | 51 | 9 | +2 |