Stamford vs United of Manchester analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.2%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.5%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.5%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.6%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
0-1
7.1%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
STA
1 - 2
CAR
38%
24%
38%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2012 |
STA
3 - 2
MAR
64%
20%
17%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2012 |
SUT
2 - 4
STA
35%
23%
42%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
STA
4 - 1
HAL
67%
18%
15%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2012 |
HUC
2 - 2
STA
28%
23%
49%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
United of Manchester
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Oct. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 1
UNM
49%
24%
27%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2012 |
FYL
4 - 2
UNM
47%
24%
29%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 2012 |
MOS
1 - 3
UNM
31%
24%
45%
|
47 | 35 | 12 | +1 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
UNM
3 - 3
MOS
65%
19%
16%
|
47 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2012 |
RFC
1 - 1
UNM
21%
24%
55%
|
48 | 34 | 14 | -1 |