Non League Div One Northern Midlands Round 4

Stamford vs Gresley analysis

Stamford Gresley
47 ELO 30
9.3% Tilt -3.1%
6719º General ELO ranking 19993º
249º Country ELO ranking 649º
ELO win probability
81.8%
Stamford
12.6%
Draw
5.6%
Gresley

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81.8%
Win probability
Stamford
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.4%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.6%
4-0
8.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.9%
2-0
14.1%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.6%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
12.6%
5.6%
Win probability
Gresley
0.56
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stamford
-24%
+34%
Gresley

Points and table prediction

Stamford
Their league position
Gresley
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
86
38
19º
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
16º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stamford
86
87
100%
Halesowen Town
77
78
100%
Spalding United
75
75
100%
Sporting Khalsa
67
70
100%
Chasetown
65
68
34.5%
Coleshill Town FC
66
67
14.5%
Harborough Town
64
67
38%
Boldmere St. Michaels
64
65
17%
Corby Town
64
65
41.5%
Shepshed
10º
51
52
10º
30.5%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
11º
49
52
11º
30.5%
Sutton Coldfield Town
12º
47
48
12º
100%
Cambridge City
13º
44
44
13º
71%
Hinckley LR
14º
41
42
14º
34%
Bedworth United
15º
39
42
15º
31.5%
Gresley
16º
38
41
16º
46.5%
Dereham Town
17º
35
35
17º
100%
St. Neots Town
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Daventry Town
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Yaxley FC
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stamford
Gresley
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stamford
Gresley
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stamford
Stamford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2022
DER
Dereham Town
1 - 3
Stamford
STA
16%
23%
61%
47 33 14 0
20 Aug. 2022
SPA
Spalding United
0 - 1
Stamford
STA
13%
21%
66%
47 30 17 0
16 Aug. 2022
STA
Stamford
3 - 1
Harborough Town
HAR
71%
17%
12%
47 37 10 0
13 Aug. 2022
BED
Bedworth United
0 - 2
Stamford
STA
11%
18%
71%
46 24 22 +1
30 Jul. 2022
WOR
Worksop Town
5 - 0
Stamford
STA
18%
22%
60%
47 27 20 -1

Matches

Gresley
Gresley
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
23 Aug. 2022
GRE
Gresley
2 - 3
Halesowen Town
HAL
30%
23%
47%
31 37 6 0
15 Aug. 2022
COL
Coleshill Town FC
2 - 0
Gresley
GRE
33%
23%
44%
33 28 5 -2
13 Aug. 2022
GRE
Gresley
0 - 0
Cambridge City
CAM
61%
21%
19%
33 28 5 0
06 Aug. 2022
ATH
Atherstone Town
2 - 1
Gresley
GRE
32%
23%
45%
34 25 9 -1
18 Apr. 2022
LON
Long Eaton United
2 - 0
Gresley
GRE
65%
18%
17%
35 42 7 -1