Non League Div One Northern Midlands. Jor. 20

Stamford vs Bedworth United analysis

Stamford Bedworth United
42 ELO 21
5% Tilt -0.3%
4414º General ELO ranking 9193º
180º Country ELO ranking 557º
ELO win probability
85.3%
Stamford
10.2%
Draw
4.4%
Bedworth United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
Stamford
2.99
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.5%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.5%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.6%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19.1%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.1%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
4.9%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.2%
4.4%
Win probability
Bedworth United
0.58
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stamford
+17%
+57%
Bedworth United

Points and table prediction

Stamford
Their league position
Bedworth United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
86
39
11º
19º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Stamford
86
87
100%
Halesowen Town
77
78
100%
Spalding United
75
75
100%
Sporting Khalsa
67
70
100%
Chasetown
65
68
34.5%
Coleshill Town FC
66
67
14.5%
Harborough Town
64
67
38%
Boldmere St. Michaels
64
65
17%
Corby Town
64
65
41.5%
Shepshed
10º
51
52
10º
30.5%
Loughborough Dynamo FC
11º
49
52
11º
30.5%
Sutton Coldfield Town
12º
47
48
12º
100%
Cambridge City
13º
44
44
13º
71%
Hinckley LR
14º
41
42
14º
34%
Bedworth United
15º
39
42
15º
31.5%
Gresley
16º
38
41
16º
46.5%
Dereham Town
17º
35
35
17º
100%
St. Neots Town
18º
32
32
18º
100%
Daventry Town
19º
24
24
19º
100%
Yaxley FC
20º
6
6
20º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stamford
Bedworth United
Promotion
100% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stamford
Bedworth United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stamford
Stamford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
SUT
Sutton Coldfield Town
1 - 1
Stamford
STA
12%
18%
70%
41 23 18 0
28 Feb. 2023
LER
Hinckley LR
0 - 1
Stamford
STA
13%
17%
70%
42 26 16 -1
25 Feb. 2023
STA
Stamford
2 - 0
Loughborough Dynamo FC
LOU
83%
11%
6%
41 22 19 +1
18 Feb. 2023
BOL
Boldmere St. Michaels
0 - 1
Stamford
STA
20%
22%
58%
42 30 12 -1
11 Feb. 2023
STA
Stamford
3 - 2
Chasetown
CHA
71%
18%
11%
42 32 10 0

Matches

Bedworth United
Bedworth United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Mar. 2023
GRE
Gresley
1 - 0
Bedworth United
BED
50%
23%
27%
21 21 0 0
25 Feb. 2023
BED
Bedworth United
0 - 0
Harborough Town
HAR
20%
21%
59%
21 30 9 0
18 Feb. 2023
LOU
Loughborough Dynamo FC
4 - 1
Bedworth United
BED
50%
23%
28%
23 22 1 -2
07 Feb. 2023
BED
Bedworth United
0 - 2
Sutton Coldfield Town
SUT
48%
24%
28%
24 22 2 -1
04 Feb. 2023
COR
Corby Town
1 - 1
Bedworth United
BED
52%
23%
26%
24 24 0 0
X