Non League Premier Sur Central Jor. 20

Stamford vs AFC Telford United analysis

Stamford AFC Telford United
45 ELO 46
14.1% Tilt 6.2%
4720º General ELO ranking 4700º
184º Country ELO ranking 181º
ELO win probability
55.4%
Stamford
22.4%
Draw
22.3%
AFC Telford United

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.4%
Win probability
Stamford
1.89
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
8.8%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.9%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
22.4%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
10.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.4%
22.2%
Win probability
AFC Telford United
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
5.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.9%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stamford
-1%
+55%
AFC Telford United

Points and table prediction

Stamford
Their league position
AFC Telford United
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
67
10º
86
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
AFC Telford United
86
86
32.5%
Needham Market
85
85
45%
Mickleover Sports FC
84
85
56.5%
Leamington
72
73
64.5%
Redditch United
70
70
36%
Stratford Town
69
70
35.5%
Stamford
67
68
41%
Nuneaton Town
20º
34
66
25%
St Ives Town
64
64
69%
Halesowen Town
62
62
10º
61.5%
Royston Town
10º
57
58
11º
69%
Coalville Town
11º
55
56
12º
46.5%
Stourbridge
14º
52
55
13º
9.5%
Barwell
13º
54
55
14º
45%
Leiston
12º
55
55
15º
3.5%
Kettering Town
15º
48
48
16º
99%
AFC Sudbury
16º
46
46
17º
65%
Alvechurch FC
17º
45
45
18º
49.5%
Bromsgrove Sporting
18º
44
44
19º
64.5%
Hitchin Town
19º
43
43
20º
100%
Berkhamsted
21º
24
24
21º
89.5%
Long Eaton United
22º
22
22
22º
89.5%
Expected probabilities
Stamford
AFC Telford United
Promotion
0% 32.5%
Promotion play-offs
5.5% 67.5%
Mid-table
94.5% 0%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Stamford
AFC Telford United
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stamford
Stamford
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
ALV
Alvechurch FC
4 - 3
Stamford
STA
23%
23%
54%
47 37 10 0
10 Feb. 2024
STA
Stamford
2 - 2
AFC Sudbury
YEL
72%
17%
12%
47 38 9 0
03 Feb. 2024
STO
Stourbridge
1 - 1
Stamford
STA
27%
24%
48%
47 41 6 0
27 Jan. 2024
STA
Stamford
3 - 1
Coalville Town
COA
35%
24%
41%
46 50 4 +1
13 Jan. 2024
STA
Stamford
2 - 2
Redditch United
RED
58%
22%
21%
47 45 2 -1

Matches

AFC Telford United
AFC Telford United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
17 Feb. 2024
STR
Stratford Town
0 - 3
AFC Telford United
AFC
57%
22%
20%
44 46 2 0
10 Feb. 2024
AFC
AFC Telford United
4 - 0
Kettering Town
KET
55%
24%
21%
43 35 8 +1
06 Feb. 2024
ROY
Royston Town
2 - 2
AFC Telford United
AFC
33%
26%
41%
43 37 6 0
03 Feb. 2024
NEE
Needham Market
2 - 0
AFC Telford United
AFC
54%
24%
22%
45 48 3 -2
27 Jan. 2024
AFC
AFC Telford United
2 - 1
Stourbridge
STO
44%
26%
31%
45 42 3 0
X