Stamford vs AFC Sudbury analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.3%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.5%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.7%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stamford
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
STA
5 - 0
GLO
84%
11%
5%
|
36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
STA
4 - 0
DIS
80%
13%
7%
|
37 | 6 | 31 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2020 |
COR
1 - 0
STA
47%
22%
31%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2020 |
STA
2 - 0
GRA
64%
19%
17%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2020 |
STA
5 - 1
SPA
82%
12%
6%
|
36 | 19 | 17 | +1 |
Matches
AFC Sudbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
YEL
2 - 1
CTF
37%
22%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Sep. 2020 |
YEL
4 - 2
HAR
46%
21%
33%
|
26 | 26 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Sep. 2020 |
NEE
3 - 2
YEL
59%
21%
20%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2020 |
ROM
1 - 2
YEL
36%
23%
42%
|
26 | 19 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Feb. 2020 |
YEL
2 - 1
HEY
32%
22%
46%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |