Stadl-Paura vs Union Edelweiß analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
7.9%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
5-1
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.3%
2-0
0.9%
3-1
0.5%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
1.6%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
2.3%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.9%
15%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
15%
77.2%
Win probability
2.47
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
8.8%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11%
1-4
4.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
16.3%
0-4
6.8%
1-5
2.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
9.3%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.1%
-5
4.4%
0-6
1.4%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.7%
0-7
0.5%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.6%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
0
16º
16º
16º
50
1º
7º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 71 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
58 | 64 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 55 |
3º
|
29.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
50 | 54 |
4º
|
29.5% | |
|
5º
|
46 | 49 |
5º
|
99% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 45 |
6º
|
37% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 45 |
7º
|
38% | |
|
8º
|
38 | 41 |
8º
|
87.5% | |
|
11º
|
35 | 41 |
9º
|
51.5% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 39 |
10º
|
35.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
11º
|
32% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 38 |
12º
|
32% | |
|
12º
|
33 | 37 |
13º
|
31% | |
|
14º
|
28 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
16 | 19 |
15º
|
98.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
0 | 4 |
16º
|
98.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Possible next round
|
1.5% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
98.5% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stadl-Paura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
STA
0 - 2
SVZ
5%
11%
84%
|
5 | 18 | 13 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2022 |
SVW
12 - 0
STA
92%
6%
2%
|
5 | 24 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 11
PWD
5%
11%
84%
|
5 | 22 | 17 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2022 |
OED
8 - 0
STA
88%
9%
4%
|
5 | 34 | 29 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
STA
0 - 3
UMA
7%
13%
81%
|
6 | 22 | 16 | -1 |
Matches
Union Edelweiß
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2022 |
GRU
1 - 1
UNI
65%
18%
17%
|
21 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2022 |
UNI
0 - 3
SPG
57%
22%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | -2 |
| 29 Oct. 2022 |
WEL
1 - 3
UNI
38%
23%
40%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | +1 |
| 21 Oct. 2022 |
UNI
3 - 0
OST
64%
18%
18%
|
21 | 18 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 Oct. 2022 |
UNP
0 - 1
UNI
42%
24%
34%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |