Stade Lausanne-Ouchy vs Thun analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
28.1%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.8%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
6.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.6%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.3%
47.6%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.9%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+9%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
60
1º
9º
3º
49
4º
9º
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
6º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
66 | 66 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 61 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
60 | 60 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
56 | 56 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
49 | 49 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
44 | 44 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
37 | 37 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
24 | 24 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stade Lausanne-Ouchy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Apr. 2023 |
LAU
2 - 1
STA
54%
24%
22%
|
61 | 66 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
STA
3 - 4
FCA
36%
24%
40%
|
61 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
NEX
1 - 1
STA
28%
26%
46%
|
61 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
STA
0 - 0
FCV
40%
25%
36%
|
62 | 61 | 1 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 3
STA
49%
25%
26%
|
61 | 63 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Thun
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2023 |
THU
2 - 3
FCA
44%
24%
32%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
WIL
1 - 2
THU
29%
24%
47%
|
66 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2023 |
THU
2 - 0
BEL
67%
20%
13%
|
66 | 53 | 13 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LAU
1 - 3
THU
45%
25%
31%
|
65 | 67 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2023 |
THU
1 - 1
WIL
44%
25%
31%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |