French League U19 Group C Round 18

Stade Brestois U19 vs Guingamp U19 analysis

Stade Brestois U19 Guingamp U19
35 ELO 23
-8.8% Tilt -4%
8162º General ELO ranking 7811º
258º Country ELO ranking 239º
ELO win probability
70.9%
Stade Brestois U19
17.4%
Draw
11.7%
Guingamp U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.9%
Win probability
Stade Brestois U19
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.2%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.3%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.6%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.3%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.2%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.4%
11.7%
Win probability
Guingamp U19
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.2%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Stade Brestois U19
-25%
+35%
Guingamp U19

Points and table prediction

Stade Brestois U19
Their league position
Guingamp U19
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
33
14º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Lorient U19
56
59
64.5%
Nantes U19
54
57
53.5%
Stade Rennais U19
55
55
89%
Angers SCO U19
43
44
74%
Stade Lavallois U19
44
44
74%
Stade Brestois U19
41
41
100%
Avranches U19
35
35
74%
Guingamp U19
33
33
56%
Girondins Bordeaux U19
31
32
82%
SA Mérignac U19
10º
27
27
10º
89%
Châteauroux U19
11º
26
26
11º
89%
Concarneau U19
12º
23
23
12º
100%
USSA Vertou U19
13º
23
23
13º
100%
Trélissac U19
14º
12
12
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Stade Brestois U19
Guingamp U19
100% 100%

ELO progression

Stade Brestois U19
Guingamp U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Stade Brestois U19
Stade Brestois U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
TRE
Trélissac U19
1 - 4
Stade Brestois U19
STA
13%
18%
69%
34 17 17 0
21 Jan. 2024
STA
Stade Brestois U19
1 - 1
SA Mérignac U19
SAM
70%
17%
13%
34 22 12 0
20 Dec. 2023
STA
Stade Brestois U19
2 - 0
Angers SCO U19
ANG
36%
24%
40%
32 37 5 +2
16 Dec. 2023
LAV
Stade Lavallois U19
2 - 1
Stade Brestois U19
STA
38%
24%
38%
33 30 3 -1
03 Dec. 2023
STA
Stade Brestois U19
2 - 3
USSA Vertou U19
VER
79%
14%
7%
33 17 16 0

Matches

Guingamp U19
Guingamp U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
27 Jan. 2024
GUI
Guingamp U19
2 - 3
Stade Rennais U19
REN
22%
21%
57%
24 34 10 0
21 Jan. 2024
CON
Concarneau U19
0 - 1
Guingamp U19
GUI
31%
22%
47%
24 19 5 0
17 Dec. 2023
TRE
Trélissac U19
1 - 2
Guingamp U19
GUI
26%
22%
51%
23 18 5 +1
03 Dec. 2023
GUI
Guingamp U19
3 - 0
SA Mérignac U19
SAM
41%
22%
37%
22 23 1 +1
26 Nov. 2023
VER
USSA Vertou U19
0 - 3
Guingamp U19
GUI
28%
23%
49%
21 18 3 +1