Stabæk II vs Surnadal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
82%
Win probability
3.13
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.1%
8-1
0.4%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.5%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3.5%
5-0
4.7%
6-1
2.1%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.2%
4-0
7.6%
5-1
4%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.1%
+4
12.5%
3-0
9.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
17.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.9%
11.2%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
5%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
11.2%
6.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
2.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.5%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
+1592%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
32
4º
13º
9º
30
11º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
54 | 54 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
42 | 42 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
40 | 40 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
38 | 38 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
38 | 38 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
35 | 35 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
|
9º
|
32 | 32 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 24 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
21 | 21 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
10 | 10 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2024 |
LIL
0 - 3
STA
54%
19%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
STA
1 - 3
ORK
71%
15%
14%
|
32 | 21 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 0
MEL
68%
17%
15%
|
32 | 25 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
0 - 7
STA
17%
18%
65%
|
32 | 14 | 18 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
STA
0 - 5
SKT
57%
20%
24%
|
33 | 32 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Surnadal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2024 |
SUR
0 - 2
RFK
12%
15%
73%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2024 |
MOS
3 - 4
SUR
44%
21%
35%
|
15 | 13 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Aug. 2024 |
SUR
2 - 5
SKT
19%
20%
61%
|
16 | 33 | 17 | -1 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
BYA
1 - 1
SUR
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
SUR
5 - 4
VER
22%
20%
58%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |