Q. Europa League 1ra Ronda Final
Global 3-4
Stabæk vs JJK Jyväskylä analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.2%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
9%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
25.1%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
4.8%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
STB
1 - 2
STR
32%
25%
44%
|
71 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
JJK
2 - 0
STB
38%
24%
38%
|
72 | 66 | 6 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2012 |
BBS
2 - 1
STB
56%
23%
21%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2012 |
VIF
1 - 2
STB
56%
23%
21%
|
71 | 78 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Jun. 2012 |
ASK
2 - 1
STB
19%
21%
60%
|
72 | 53 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
JJK Jyväskylä
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2012 |
JJK
3 - 1
FCL
53%
24%
23%
|
67 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2012 |
JJK
2 - 0
STB
38%
24%
38%
|
66 | 72 | 6 | +1 |
| 02 Jul. 2012 |
VAA
2 - 0
JJK
38%
26%
36%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Jun. 2012 |
JJK
0 - 1
HON
30%
26%
45%
|
67 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2012 |
HAK
3 - 1
JJK
26%
24%
49%
|
68 | 60 | 8 | -1 |