Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 3-3
Stabæk vs Dnepr Mogilev analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
81%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.8%
4-0
7.9%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.2%
3-0
11.5%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.7%
2-0
12.6%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.3%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
6%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.6%
6.4%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.8%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Stabæk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
STB
2 - 3
VKG
64%
21%
16%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jul. 2010 |
STB
4 - 3
MFK
58%
21%
20%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2010 |
STB
3 - 3
FKT
91%
8%
2%
|
83 | 47 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2010 |
SDF
1 - 1
STB
22%
26%
52%
|
83 | 68 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2010 |
STB
3 - 0
IKS
63%
20%
16%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Dnepr Mogilev
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Jul. 2010 |
DNP
7 - 1
LAÇ
44%
25%
31%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
DNM
3 - 0
DNP
67%
21%
12%
|
64 | 77 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Jul. 2010 |
LAÇ
1 - 1
DNP
46%
25%
29%
|
64 | 65 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2010 |
DNP
0 - 2
SHA
29%
26%
45%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | -1 |
| 23 Jun. 2010 |
DNP
0 - 0
VIT
52%
25%
24%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |