St. Philbert de Grand Lieu vs Pau FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
3.2%
Win probability
0.57
Expected goals
3-0
0.1%
4-1
<0%
+3
0.1%
2-0
0.3%
3-1
0.2%
4-2
<0%
+2
0.6%
1-0
1.1%
2-1
1.1%
3-2
0.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
2.5%
7.8%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
3.7%
2-2
1.8%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
7.8%
88.9%
Win probability
3.4
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.9%
0-3
12.3%
1-4
6%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
-3
19.6%
0-4
10.5%
1-5
4.1%
2-6
0.7%
3-7
0.1%
-4
15.3%
0-5
7.1%
1-6
2.3%
2-7
0.3%
3-8
0%
-5
9.8%
0-6
4%
1-7
1.1%
2-8
0.1%
-6
5.3%
0-7
2%
1-8
0.5%
2-9
0.1%
-7
2.5%
0-8
0.8%
1-9
0.2%
2-10
0%
-8
1%
0-9
0.3%
1-10
0.1%
-9
0.4%
0-10
0.1%
-10
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Philbert de Grand Lieu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2024 |
LAT
2 - 0
SPG
47%
25%
28%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
3 - 0
THO
23%
21%
56%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +3 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 0
ANG
38%
23%
39%
|
35 | 40 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Nov. 2024 |
USS
2 - 1
SPG
64%
18%
18%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
SPG
2 - 2
ASC
39%
22%
39%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Pau FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Nov. 2024 |
PAU
4 - 1
RED
45%
26%
29%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2024 |
BAY
1 - 3
PAU
4%
11%
85%
|
72 | 40 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2024 |
PAU
0 - 0
PFC
30%
27%
42%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2024 |
ANN
2 - 0
PAU
48%
25%
28%
|
72 | 74 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2024 |
TRO
3 - 0
PAU
37%
26%
38%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | -1 |