FC St Pauli vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.4%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.3%
40.4%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
7%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
FC St Pauli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Aug. 2007 |
STP
1 - 0
LEV
15%
21%
64%
|
63 | 84 | 21 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2007 |
MAG
1 - 1
STP
37%
27%
37%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2007 |
STP
2 - 2
SGD
51%
26%
23%
|
63 | 61 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
ERF
0 - 3
STP
31%
28%
41%
|
62 | 55 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2007 |
STP
2 - 0
F95
55%
25%
21%
|
62 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
WER
4 - 2
KOL
23%
22%
56%
|
71 | 55 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2007 |
KAI
2 - 2
KOL
53%
24%
23%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2007 |
KOL
2 - 2
OFC
67%
20%
14%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2007 |
MSV
1 - 3
KOL
50%
24%
25%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
KOL
0 - 2
SGF
48%
25%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |