St. Pauli II vs Tus Osdorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
10.1%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.7%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.3%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Pauli II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
STP
8 - 0
DER
62%
20%
19%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2019 |
HAM
1 - 1
STP
48%
24%
29%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
EIN
0 - 0
STP
49%
23%
28%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2019 |
STP
1 - 1
WER
31%
24%
45%
|
40 | 45 | 5 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2019 |
STP
3 - 0
VFB
31%
25%
44%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
Matches
Tus Osdorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Dec. 2019 |
OSD
2 - 2
UTO
71%
16%
13%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Dec. 2019 |
BAR
1 - 1
OSD
66%
17%
17%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2019 |
OSD
4 - 4
OTT
16%
18%
66%
|
24 | 41 | 17 | +1 |
| 15 Nov. 2019 |
OSD
5 - 1
MEI
75%
14%
11%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2019 |
RUG
0 - 2
OSD
23%
20%
57%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | +1 |