St Patrick's vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
37.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
34.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DRO
0 - 2
STP
26%
28%
46%
|
71 | 60 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
STP
2 - 1
FIN
66%
21%
13%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 2022 |
BOH
1 - 3
STP
50%
25%
24%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2022 |
UCD
1 - 2
STP
22%
27%
51%
|
69 | 53 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
STP
1 - 0
SLR
45%
27%
27%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
DER
3 - 1
SHR
43%
26%
32%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
SLR
53%
25%
22%
|
72 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2022 |
DER
1 - 0
BOH
49%
26%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
DER
3 - 0
UCD
67%
20%
13%
|
71 | 54 | 17 | +1 |
| 26 Aug. 2022 |
DER
2 - 0
CAO
59%
22%
19%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | +1 |