St Patrick's vs Derry City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.3%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
28.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Patrick's
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
BOH
3 - 2
STP
58%
24%
19%
|
64 | 68 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
WAT
1 - 1
STP
30%
27%
43%
|
64 | 55 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
STP
4 - 1
FIN
58%
25%
18%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
STP
2 - 0
SLR
39%
28%
33%
|
63 | 65 | 2 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2021 |
LON
1 - 3
STP
30%
27%
43%
|
62 | 52 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Derry City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2021 |
DER
2 - 0
WAT
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 55 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 1
DER
63%
22%
15%
|
63 | 72 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
SLR
47%
26%
28%
|
63 | 64 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Jun. 2021 |
FIN
1 - 2
DER
32%
28%
40%
|
63 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
BOH
39%
28%
34%
|
63 | 68 | 5 | 0 |