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FA Cup. Qualifying round

Aggregate 4-2. First leg 1-1

St. Neots Town vs Godmanchester Rovers analysis

St. Neots Town Godmanchester Rovers
44 ELO 53
35% Tilt 84%
2312º General ELO ranking 936º
571º Country ELO ranking 117º
ELO win probability
31.2%
St. Neots Town
20.4%
Draw
48.4%
Godmanchester Rovers

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.2%
Win probability
St. Neots Town
1.75
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
1.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.2%
2-0
3%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.7%
20.4%
Draw
0-0
1.9%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.4%
48.4%
Win probability
Godmanchester Rovers
2.2
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
5.2%
3-4
1.7%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
6%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.7%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
14.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
3.3%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.3%
4-7
0%
-3
8.2%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
4-8
0%
-4
3.9%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%