St. Mirren vs Motherwell analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.7%
1-0
12.9%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.6%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.3%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
6º
37
3º
9º
8º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
8º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jul. 2022 |
STM
3 - 1
EDI
73%
19%
9%
|
69 | 51 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2022 |
AIR
2 - 0
STM
30%
25%
45%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
CWB
0 - 2
STM
6%
15%
79%
|
70 | 40 | 30 | 0 |
| 09 Jul. 2022 |
STM
0 - 1
ARB
53%
25%
22%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | -1 |
| 05 Jul. 2022 |
STM
1 - 3
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
71 | 58 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Motherwell
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2022 |
SLR
2 - 0
MHE
38%
26%
36%
|
70 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2022 |
MHE
0 - 1
SLR
62%
21%
17%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2022 |
PAR
0 - 1
MHE
21%
24%
56%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Jul. 2022 |
VOR
1 - 5
MHE
23%
23%
54%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
CEL
6 - 0
MHE
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |