St. Mirren vs Livingston analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.3%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.9%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.3%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
37.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
0-1
12.6%
1-2
7.7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
-1
22%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
10.7%
0-3
2.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
6º
42
4º
9º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STM
2 - 0
CEL
13%
20%
68%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
3 - 0
STM
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
HIB
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 3
STM
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
ROS
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Livingston
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 0
KIL
52%
27%
21%
|
73 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 0
HOM
36%
27%
38%
|
72 | 76 | 4 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 2
DUN
55%
24%
21%
|
73 | 68 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
5 - 0
LIV
48%
26%
26%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | -1 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
MHE
1 - 0
LIV
38%
27%
35%
|
74 | 69 | 5 | 0 |