St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
41.2%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.3%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.8%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
23.6%
29.6%
Draw
0-0
12.1%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.6%
29.3%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
11.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.9%
0-2
5.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.6%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+1%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
43
2º
6º
5º
51
3º
11º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
78 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
75 | 75 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
62 | 62 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
51 | 51 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
18 | 18 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
HOM
2 - 0
STM
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 77 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
STM
0 - 0
MHE
45%
28%
27%
|
71 | 70 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Dec. 2023 |
STM
2 - 0
ROS
46%
27%
28%
|
70 | 67 | 3 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
STJ
1 - 0
STM
29%
28%
43%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2023 |
GLA
2 - 0
STM
69%
19%
12%
|
71 | 81 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
LIV
0 - 0
KIL
33%
30%
37%
|
73 | 66 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2023 |
KIL
2 - 1
CEL
22%
23%
56%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2023 |
ABE
0 - 1
KIL
56%
25%
19%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | +1 |
| 02 Dec. 2023 |
KIL
0 - 1
HOM
37%
27%
36%
|
71 | 75 | 4 | 0 |