St. Mirren vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.5%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.9%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
15.3%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.1%
+1
24.8%
29.5%
Draw
0-0
12.5%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
29.5%
26%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
+17%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
6º
31
7º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
GLA
4 - 0
STM
65%
20%
15%
|
71 | 80 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
STM
2 - 1
LIV
33%
29%
38%
|
71 | 73 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2022 |
STM
2 - 0
CEL
13%
20%
68%
|
69 | 81 | 12 | +2 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
3 - 0
STM
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
HIB
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
34%
27%
39%
|
68 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2022 |
KIL
2 - 1
STJ
41%
27%
32%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ABE
4 - 1
KIL
60%
24%
16%
|
69 | 75 | 6 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
LIV
1 - 0
KIL
52%
27%
21%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
HIB
1 - 0
KIL
59%
24%
17%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | -1 |