St. Mirren vs Heart of Midlothian analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.2%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.5%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.3%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
31.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.8%
1-2
7%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.7%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
8.6%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+12%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
DUN
2 - 2
STM
40%
26%
34%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
STM
2 - 0
PAR
57%
23%
20%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
STE
1 - 3
STM
7%
15%
77%
|
71 | 43 | 28 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
STM
1 - 0
DUN
59%
23%
18%
|
70 | 62 | 8 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
DUM
0 - 3
STM
9%
18%
73%
|
70 | 49 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Heart of Midlothian
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
HOM
2 - 1
CEL
27%
24%
50%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2021 |
HOM
1 - 0
ICT
64%
20%
17%
|
72 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2021 |
STI
0 - 2
HOM
12%
21%
67%
|
72 | 51 | 21 | 0 |
| 13 Jul. 2021 |
HOM
3 - 0
COV
72%
16%
12%
|
72 | 56 | 16 | 0 |
| 10 Jul. 2021 |
PET
0 - 2
HOM
12%
21%
68%
|
71 | 50 | 21 | +1 |