St. Mirren vs Dunfermline Athletic FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.6%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.8%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
10%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
31.6%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-8%
-10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
STM
2 - 1
AYR
37%
25%
38%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
STM
0 - 1
DUM
58%
22%
19%
|
51 | 45 | 6 | -1 |
| 01 Nov. 2016 |
GRE
3 - 1
STM
54%
24%
22%
|
52 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
HIB
2 - 0
STM
68%
20%
12%
|
52 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2016 |
STM
0 - 2
DUN
21%
25%
54%
|
53 | 67 | 14 | -1 |
Matches
Dunfermline Athletic FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 1
DUN
21%
21%
59%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 08 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 0
DUN
73%
17%
10%
|
54 | 67 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
DUN
0 - 0
RAI
48%
25%
27%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DUM
2 - 2
DUN
31%
25%
44%
|
55 | 45 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2016 |
DUN
1 - 3
HIB
38%
27%
35%
|
55 | 64 | 9 | 0 |