St. Mirren vs Celtic analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.8%
Win probability
0.78
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.7%
2-0
1.7%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.9%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
9.1%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
67.7%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
0-1
12%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
12.4%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
12.7%
0-4
4.5%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.2%
0-5
1.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
6º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
44
4º
12º
6º
92
1º
1º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
92 | 92 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
79 | 80 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
50 | 51 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
48 | 48 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
44 | 44 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
|
6º
|
44 | 44 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
42 | 42 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
31 | 31 |
10º
|
0% | |
|
11º
|
31 | 31 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 27 |
12º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Play-offs for the title
|
100% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Mirren
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
STJ
3 - 0
STM
31%
29%
41%
|
70 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
HIB
27%
27%
46%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 3
STM
43%
27%
30%
|
69 | 70 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Aug. 2022 |
STM
1 - 0
ROS
40%
28%
32%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Aug. 2022 |
ABE
4 - 1
STM
51%
26%
23%
|
69 | 74 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Celtic
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2022 |
SHA
1 - 1
CEL
49%
23%
28%
|
82 | 84 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
0 - 3
RMA
8%
18%
74%
|
82 | 94 | 12 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
CEL
4 - 0
GLA
48%
24%
28%
|
81 | 81 | 0 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
ROS
1 - 4
CEL
22%
22%
57%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2022 |
DUN
0 - 9
CEL
17%
21%
62%
|
81 | 69 | 12 | +1 |