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Austria Fourth Division. Alta Austria, Matchday 12

St. Martin im Muhlreis vs Donau Linz analysis

St. Martin im Muhlreis Donau Linz
11 ELO 5
68% Tilt 48%
9869º General ELO ranking 12409º
196º Country ELO ranking 279º
ELO win probability
57.6%
St. Martin im Muhlreis
19.7%
Draw
22.7%
Donau Linz

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.6%
Win probability
St. Martin im Muhlreis
2.3
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.3%
3-0
5%
4-1
4%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.6%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
5.7%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.3%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.7%
22.7%
Win probability
Donau Linz
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6.3%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Martin im Muhlreis
+85%
+25%
Donau Linz

Points and table prediction

Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Oedt
23
56
15%
Weißkirchen / Allhaming
22
55
15%
St. Valentin
22
57
15%
SV Friedburg
17
51
9%
St. Martin im Muhlreis
17
49
9%
Union Mondsee
16
48
8%
Union Edelweiß
15
40
7%
Donau Linz
14
35
11º
7%
Kornspitz Pregarten
13
38
7%
SV Wallern
10º
13
38
7%
Union St. Florian
11º
13
36
10º
7%
Union Perg
12º
11
33
13º
8%
Bad Schallerbach
13º
9
34
12º
8%
Pöttinger Grieskirchen
14º
9
31
14º
9%
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
15º
7
29
15º
11%
Zebau Bad Ischl
16º
5
28
16º
13%
Expected probabilities
St. Martin im Muhlreis
Donau Linz
Champion
10% 4%
Mid-table
71% 61%
Relegation playoffs
16% 28%
Relegation
3% 7%

ELO progression

Donau Linz
DON
St. Martin im Muhlreis
STM
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
GRU
Union Perg
UNP
Bad Schallerbach
BAD
Pöttinger Grieskirchen
SVP
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Martin im Muhlreis
St. Martin im Muhlreis
1%
X%
2%
ELO STM ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Oct. 2021
BAD
Bad Schallerbach
2 - 4
St. Martin im Muhlreis
STM
45%
27%
28%
167 187 20 0
09 Oct. 2021
STM
St. Martin im Muhlreis
2 - 1
Grün-Weiß Micheldorf
GRU
45%
27%
28%
166 139 27 +1
01 Oct. 2021
STF
Union St. Florian
1 - 2
St. Martin im Muhlreis
STM
47%
27%
26%
165 212 47 +1
24 Sep. 2021
UMA
Union Mondsee
1 - 3
St. Martin im Muhlreis
STM
47%
27%
26%
164 198 34 +1
17 Sep. 2021
STM
St. Martin im Muhlreis
2 - 0
Zebau Bad Ischl
SVZ
45%
27%
28%
163 160 3 +1

Matches

Donau Linz
Donau Linz
1%
X%
2%
ELO DON ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
15 Oct. 2021
DON
Donau Linz
2 - 2
Union Mondsee
UMA
41%
28%
31%
87 196 -109 0
09 Oct. 2021
SVZ
Zebau Bad Ischl
2 - 3
Donau Linz
DON
47%
27%
26%
86 157 71 +1
01 Oct. 2021
DON
Donau Linz
0 - 5
Oedt
OED
44%
27%
29%
88 186 -98 -2
24 Sep. 2021
UNI
Union Edelweiß
3 - 1
Donau Linz
DON
47%
27%
26%
89 156 67 -1
17 Sep. 2021
DON
Donau Linz
0 - 2
SV Wallern
SVW
39%
28%
34%
90 262 -172 -1