St Margaretsbury vs West Essex analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
5%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.6%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
8.5%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
61.9%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.4%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.6%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.9%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.5%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.9%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St Margaretsbury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
WAL
2 - 0
STM
89%
8%
3%
|
12 | 29 | 17 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2021 |
STM
0 - 1
TAK
17%
18%
64%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
COC
5 - 1
STM
84%
11%
5%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
STM
0 - 1
ILF
52%
21%
27%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
STM
1 - 5
STA
16%
19%
65%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
West Essex
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
ESS
1 - 1
WEN
31%
22%
48%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2021 |
ILF
2 - 1
ESS
30%
22%
48%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Nov. 2021 |
RED
1 - 1
ESS
65%
18%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
ESS
0 - 2
COC
33%
21%
46%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | -1 |
| 03 Nov. 2021 |
ENF
6 - 1
ESS
68%
17%
15%
|
19 | 24 | 5 | 0 |