St. Margarethen vs Pinkafeld analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17.7%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
4.7%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
2.9%
1-1
8.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
63.6%
Win probability
2.36
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.5%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
4.4%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
12.2%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
2.1%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
6.4%
0-5
1.8%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.8%
0-6
0.7%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+15%
-50%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
3º
14º
4º
30
4º
11º
9º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
9º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
65 | 78 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
51 | 63 |
2º
|
74.5% | |
|
12º
|
27 | 57 |
3º
|
50.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
45 | 52 |
4º
|
53.5% | |
|
4º
|
41 | 50 |
5º
|
43% | |
|
5º
|
41 | 48 |
6º
|
28% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 46 |
7º
|
58% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 40 |
8º
|
60.5% | |
|
|
9º
|
30 | 37 |
9º
|
23.5% | |
|
10º
|
30 | 34 |
10º
|
16% | |
|
11º
|
27 | 34 |
11º
|
18.5% | |
|
13º
|
26 | 33 |
12º
|
16% | |
|
8º
|
32 | 33 |
13º
|
13% | |
|
14º
|
21 | 22 |
14º
|
74% | |
|
15º
|
18 | 21 |
15º
|
46% | |
|
16º
|
17 | 18 |
16º
|
61.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
BAS
3 - 0
STM
57%
21%
22%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
STM
1 - 4
HOR
37%
22%
41%
|
20 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2023 |
PAR
2 - 0
STM
77%
14%
9%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
STM
2 - 1
LEI
24%
21%
55%
|
18 | 24 | 6 | +2 |
| 12 Aug. 2023 |
RIT
2 - 0
STM
81%
12%
7%
|
19 | 32 | 13 | -1 |
Matches
Pinkafeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Sep. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
SPG
84%
11%
6%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2023 |
3 - 2
PIN
8%
13%
80%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | -2 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
2 - 1
USV
79%
13%
8%
|
28 | 17 | 11 | +1 |
| 19 Aug. 2023 |
ASK
1 - 2
PIN
18%
19%
63%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 2
KLI
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | -1 |