St. Margarethen vs Parndorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.7%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.3%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.4%
1-0
3%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.5%
16%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
7.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
16%
73.3%
Win probability
2.5
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
11%
1-3
7.8%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.1%
0-3
9.1%
1-4
4.8%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
-3
15.1%
0-4
5.7%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
8.6%
0-5
2.8%
1-6
1%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4%
0-6
1.2%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
1.6%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Margarethen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
STM
1 - 3
ASV
11%
17%
71%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2021 |
PIN
2 - 1
STM
78%
14%
9%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2021 |
STM
2 - 0
HOR
38%
24%
38%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Oct. 2021 |
OBR
5 - 1
STM
83%
11%
6%
|
17 | 32 | 15 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
STM
2 - 1
OBE
82%
12%
7%
|
17 | 9 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Parndorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ASV
2 - 2
PAR
49%
22%
30%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2021 |
HOR
2 - 6
PAR
14%
18%
69%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | +1 |
| 22 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
2 - 2
PIN
61%
20%
20%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2021 |
PAR
1 - 2
OBR
58%
19%
23%
|
34 | 30 | 4 | -2 |
| 01 Oct. 2021 |
OBE
2 - 4
PAR
5%
11%
84%
|
34 | 10 | 24 | 0 |