St. Johnstone vs Kilmarnock analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
60.9%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
7.2%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
10%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.9%
1-0
14.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
3.6%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
23.1%
15.9%
Win probability
0.76
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Johnstone
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Dec. 2015 |
MHE
2 - 0
STJ
35%
28%
38%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
STJ
0 - 0
HOM
48%
26%
26%
|
76 | 72 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2015 |
STJ
0 - 3
CEL
30%
26%
44%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
ROS
2 - 3
STJ
37%
27%
36%
|
77 | 70 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2015 |
STJ
1 - 1
DUN
60%
24%
16%
|
77 | 66 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Kilmarnock
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jan. 2016 |
KIL
2 - 2
HOM
31%
27%
42%
|
60 | 73 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 Dec. 2015 |
ROS
3 - 2
KIL
67%
20%
13%
|
61 | 71 | 10 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2015 |
HAM
0 - 1
KIL
54%
24%
22%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
KIL
0 - 4
ABE
23%
27%
50%
|
61 | 79 | 18 | -1 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
ICT
2 - 1
KIL
64%
22%
14%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | 0 |