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Brisbane. Matchday 21

St George Willawong vs Western Spirit analysis

St George Willawong Western Spirit
5 ELO 13
114% Tilt 57%
11900º General ELO ranking 8945º
173º Country ELO ranking 118º
ELO win probability
63.9%
St George Willawong
16.3%
Draw
19.8%
Western Spirit

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.9%
Win probability
St George Willawong
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.1%
9-4
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
1.3%
7-3
0.3%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.8%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
2.6%
6-3
0.7%
7-4
0.1%
8-5
<0%
+3
12.8%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
4.3%
5-3
1.4%
6-4
0.3%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
2.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
5.9%
4-3
2.4%
5-4
0.6%
6-5
0.1%
7-6
<0%
+1
19%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
1%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
6%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
1%
5-5
0.2%
6-6
<0%
0
16.3%
19.8%
Win probability
Western Spirit
1.68
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
4%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0.1%
-1
10.8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
5.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St George Willawong
+137%
+41%
Western Spirit

Points and table prediction

St George Willawong
Their league position
Western Spirit
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
35
15
12º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Albany Creek
57
60
100%
Bayside United
43
45
100%
The Lakes
39
41
100%
St George Willawong
35
37
100%
Toowong
32
34
100%
Acacia Ridge
30
32
96%
Mount Gravatt Hawks SC
28
30
77%
Centenary Stormers
23
24
78%
Univ. Queensland
22
23
82%
The Gap
10º
15
16
11º
24%
Western Spirit
11º
15
19
10º
36%
Brisbane Knights
12º
14
15
12º
80%
Expected probabilities
St George Willawong
Western Spirit
Champion
0% 0%
Final season
100% 0%
Mid-table
0% 35%
Relegation
0% 65%

ELO progression

Western Spirit
WES
St George Willawong
GEO
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St George Willawong
St George Willawong
1%
X%
2%
ELO GEO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
UNI
Univ. Queensland
1 - 2
St George Willawong
GEO
41%
28%
31%
99 33 -66 0
12 Sep. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
1 - 2
Toowong
TOO
46%
27%
27%
99 94 5 0
22 Sep. 2021
ALB
Albany Creek
3 - 0
St George Willawong
GEO
46%
27%
27%
100 85 -15 0
04 Sep. 2021
GEO
St George Willawong
4 - 0
Brisbane Knights
BRK
46%
27%
27%
99 93 6 0
17 Jul. 2021
BAY
Bayside United
3 - 0
St George Willawong
GEO
46%
27%
27%
99 87 -12 -1

Matches

Western Spirit
Western Spirit
1%
X%
2%
ELO WES ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
18 Sep. 2021
WES
Western Spirit
0 - 2
Bayside United
BAY
47%
27%
26%
190 87 103 0
11 Sep. 2021
ACA
Acacia Ridge
4 - 1
Western Spirit
WES
41%
28%
31%
190 77 -113 0
07 Sep. 2021
STO
Centenary Stormers
3 - 2
Western Spirit
WES
44%
27%
29%
189 89 -100 0
04 Sep. 2021
WES
Western Spirit
0 - 4
Albany Creek
ALB
47%
27%
26%
190 86 104 0
18 Jul. 2021
TLA
The Lakes
1 - 5
Western Spirit
WES
45%
27%
28%
189 203 14 +1