St George Willawong vs Queensland Lions FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.8%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
14.9%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
52.2%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
15.8%
0-3
4.7%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
8.6%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
-9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
BRI
2 - 1
GEO
33%
21%
47%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
WYN
2 - 2
GEO
26%
20%
55%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
GOL
2 - 0
GEO
34%
24%
42%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | -1 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
EAS
1 - 1
GEO
12%
15%
73%
|
43 | 19 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Sep. 2022 |
GEO
3 - 2
BAY
54%
22%
24%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Queensland Lions FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
MOR
3 - 1
QUE
46%
23%
31%
|
56 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
SUN
1 - 1
QUE
10%
17%
73%
|
55 | 37 | 18 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2025 |
QUE
3 - 0
BRR
83%
11%
6%
|
55 | 36 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Feb. 2025 |
GCK
3 - 1
QUE
46%
24%
30%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
MOR
0 - 1
QUE
49%
23%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | +1 |