St George Willawong vs Brisbane Knights analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
90.1%
Win probability
3.6
Expected goals
10-0
0.2%
+10
0.2%
9-0
0.4%
10-1
0.1%
+9
0.5%
8-0
1.1%
9-1
0.3%
10-2
<0%
+8
1.3%
7-0
2.4%
8-1
0.6%
9-2
0.1%
+7
3.1%
6-0
4.6%
7-1
1.4%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
6.2%
5-0
7.6%
6-1
2.7%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
10.8%
4-0
10.6%
5-1
4.5%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
+4
16%
3-0
11.7%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
19.5%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.7%
6.9%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
3.2%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
6.9%
2.9%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.9%
1-2
1%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
2.3%
0-2
0.3%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.5%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+143%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St George Willawong
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
GAP
0 - 3
GEO
7%
13%
80%
|
38 | 15 | 23 | 0 |
| 17 Jul. 2021 |
BAY
3 - 0
GEO
33%
24%
44%
|
41 | 36 | 5 | -3 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
ACA
3 - 2
GEO
7%
12%
81%
|
42 | 16 | 26 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2021 |
GEO
3 - 2
TLA
67%
18%
15%
|
42 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MGH
2 - 1
GEO
9%
14%
77%
|
43 | 22 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Brisbane Knights
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Aug. 2021 |
UNI
3 - 1
BRK
61%
19%
20%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 2
TOO
16%
18%
67%
|
16 | 30 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2021 |
BRK
0 - 5
ACA
42%
22%
36%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | -1 |
| 16 Jul. 2021 |
BRK
2 - 3
STO
44%
21%
35%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Jul. 2021 |
BAY
1 - 0
BRK
82%
11%
6%
|
18 | 35 | 17 | 0 |