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Brisbane. Matchday 4

St George Willawong vs Albany Creek analysis

St George Willawong Albany Creek
5 ELO 4
128% Tilt 249%
19606º General ELO ranking 11607º
246º Country ELO ranking 107º
ELO win probability
35.5%
St George Willawong
15.5%
Draw
49%
Albany Creek

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.5%
Win probability
St George Willawong
3.14
Expected goals
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
0.1%
10-3
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
0.1%
10-4
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.5%
8-3
0.2%
9-4
0.1%
10-5
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.6%
8-4
0.2%
9-5
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
0.6%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
2%
6-3
1.2%
7-4
0.5%
8-5
0.1%
9-6
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
0.6%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
2.3%
6-4
1.1%
7-5
0.4%
8-6
0.1%
9-7
<0%
+2
9.8%
1-0
0.4%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
4%
4-3
3.7%
5-4
2.1%
6-5
0.8%
7-6
0.2%
8-7
<0%
+1
13.3%
15.5%
Draw
0-0
0.1%
1-1
1.3%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
4.8%
4-4
3.4%
5-5
1.5%
6-6
0.5%
7-7
0.1%
8-8
<0%
0
15.5%
49%
Win probability
Albany Creek
3.59
Expected goals
0-1
0.4%
1-2
2.4%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
4.3%
4-5
2.4%
5-6
0.9%
6-7
0.2%
7-8
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
4.1%
3-5
3.1%
4-6
1.4%
5-7
0.5%
6-8
0.1%
7-9
0%
-2
12.8%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
2.9%
3-6
1.8%
4-7
0.7%
5-8
0.2%
6-9
0%
-3
9.3%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
1.8%
3-7
0.9%
4-8
0.3%
5-9
0.1%
6-10
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.9%
3-8
0.4%
4-9
0.1%
5-10
0%
-5
3.2%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.6%
2-8
0.4%
3-9
0.2%
4-10
0%
-6
1.5%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.3%
2-9
0.2%
3-10
0.1%
4-11
0%
-7
0.7%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0.1%
2-10
0.1%
3-11
0%
-8
0.3%
0-9
0%
1-10
0%
2-11
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
1-11
0%
-10
<0%

Points and table prediction

St George Willawong
Their league position
Albany Creek
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
38
60
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected probabilities
St George Willawong
Albany Creek