Super League . Jor. 2

St. Gallen vs Winterthur analysis

St. Gallen Winterthur
77 ELO 66
20% Tilt 25.8%
297º General ELO ranking 801º
Country ELO ranking 11º
ELO win probability
65.9%
St. Gallen
19.4%
Draw
14.7%
Winterthur

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.9%
Win probability
St. Gallen
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.2%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.9%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
14.7%
Win probability
Winterthur
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
St. Gallen
-10%
+21%
Winterthur

Points and table prediction

St. Gallen
Their league position
Winterthur
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
45
32
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Young Boys
74
74
100%
Servette
58
58
100%
FC Lugano
57
57
100%
Luzern
50
50
100%
Basel
47
47
100%
St. Gallen
45
45
100%
Grasshopper
44
44
0%
Zurich
44
44
0%
Winterthur
32
32
100%
Sion
10º
31
31
10º
100%
Expected probabilities
St. Gallen
Winterthur
Champion
0% 0%
Champions League qualifying phase (2nd r
0% 0%
Europa League qualifying phase
0% 0%
Conference League knock out round
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%

ELO progression

St. Gallen
Winterthur
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

St. Gallen
St. Gallen
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
20 Jul. 2022
STG
St. Gallen
0 - 2
Valencia
VCF
27%
25%
48%
77 86 9 0
17 Jul. 2022
SER
Servette
1 - 0
St. Gallen
STG
27%
24%
49%
77 72 5 0
09 Jul. 2022
STG
St. Gallen
3 - 4
SC Freiburg
SCF
30%
24%
46%
77 84 7 0
02 Jul. 2022
SCA
Austria Lustenau
0 - 4
St. Gallen
STG
23%
21%
56%
77 66 11 0
29 Jun. 2022
MON
Monaco
1 - 1
St. Gallen
STG
65%
19%
16%
77 87 10 0

Matches

Winterthur
Winterthur
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
16 Jul. 2022
WIN
Winterthur
1 - 1
Basel
BAS
16%
21%
64%
66 83 17 0
12 Jul. 2022
WIN
Winterthur
3 - 0
SC Bruhl
SCB
84%
11%
5%
66 45 21 0
08 Jul. 2022
ALT
SCR Altach
1 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
46%
24%
29%
66 71 5 0
02 Jul. 2022
WIN
Winterthur
3 - 0
Schaffhausen
SCH
45%
23%
32%
66 65 1 0
28 Jun. 2022
FCV
FC Vaduz
1 - 1
Winterthur
WIN
41%
24%
35%
66 65 1 0
X