St. Gallen vs FC Lugano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
38.6%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
35.3%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.1%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.1%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-7%
+11%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
STG
3 - 0
FCL
17%
22%
62%
|
68 | 81 | 13 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2016 |
FCV
2 - 0
STG
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2016 |
BLA
2 - 3
STG
8%
14%
78%
|
69 | 39 | 30 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2016 |
LAU
1 - 0
STG
38%
26%
37%
|
69 | 67 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
STG
2 - 1
GCZ
22%
23%
55%
|
69 | 78 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
FC Lugano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Sep. 2016 |
CHI
1 - 1
LUG
13%
19%
68%
|
71 | 56 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
1 - 1
LAU
47%
24%
30%
|
71 | 68 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2016 |
BAS
4 - 1
LUG
72%
18%
10%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
| 13 Aug. 2016 |
MOU
0 - 3
LUG
5%
12%
82%
|
71 | 27 | 44 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2016 |
LUG
3 - 1
SIO
34%
27%
40%
|
70 | 77 | 7 | +1 |