St. Gallen vs Basel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.5%
Win probability
1.34
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.1%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
11%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
45.8%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.2%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.6%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Gallen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
FCV
2 - 1
STG
26%
24%
51%
|
76 | 67 | 9 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
STG
2 - 1
FCL
52%
23%
25%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SIO
1 - 1
STG
32%
25%
43%
|
76 | 73 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2021 |
SER
2 - 2
STG
38%
25%
37%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2021 |
SIO
3 - 2
STG
33%
25%
42%
|
76 | 74 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Basel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Feb. 2021 |
BAS
0 - 0
LAU
65%
20%
15%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2021 |
WIN
6 - 2
BAS
15%
19%
66%
|
83 | 62 | 21 | -1 |
| 14 Feb. 2021 |
ZUR
2 - 0
BAS
22%
23%
56%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 2021 |
BAS
2 - 2
SIO
71%
18%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Feb. 2021 |
LAU
1 - 3
BAS
21%
23%
56%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | 0 |