Ulm U19 vs Mainz 05 U19 analysis


16	ELO	33
-0.4%	Tilt	-2.1%
14187º	General ELO ranking	8265º
624º	Country ELO ranking	408º
ELO win probability

18.1%

Ulm U19

22.4%

Draw

59.5%

Mainz 05 U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of handicap

18%
Win probability

                        
                    
0.91
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
5.8%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.1%

22.4%

Draw

0-0

6.4%

1-1

10.7%

2-2

4.5%

3-3

0.8%

4-4

0.1%

22.4%

59.5%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.85
Expected goals
0-1
11.8%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.9%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
10%
0-4
3.1%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.3%
0-5
1.1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%