SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht vs FC Leverkusen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
63.7%
Win probability
2.52
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.2%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.1%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.5%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.4%
1-0
5.5%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.1%
18%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
0.1%
0
17.9%
18.3%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
SSV Homburg-Nümbrecht
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
GEW
2 - 0
SHN
27%
21%
51%
|
14 | 10 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
SVD
2 - 0
SHN
82%
11%
7%
|
14 | 21 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
SHN
0 - 3
FBH
66%
18%
16%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
SVL
3 - 1
SHN
14%
17%
69%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
SHN
0 - 5
SCB
52%
21%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
Matches
FC Leverkusen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2018 |
LEV
2 - 0
FBH
20%
20%
59%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
SVL
3 - 1
LEV
66%
18%
16%
|
10 | 13 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Mar. 2018 |
LEV
0 - 1
SCB
14%
17%
69%
|
10 | 19 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
BLH
5 - 2
LEV
72%
16%
12%
|
11 | 15 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2018 |
LEV
1 - 5
SVS
17%
18%
65%
|
12 | 19 | 7 | -1 |