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Serie D. Group D, Matchday 21

Marignanese Corticella
22 ELO 21
-18% Tilt -64%
4623º General ELO ranking 4830º
193º Country ELO ranking 210º
ELO win probability
55.8%
Marignanese
32.2%
Draw
11.9%
Corticella

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.8%
Win probability
Marignanese
1.15
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.1%
+4
1.7%
3-0
5.5%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
14.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.1%
+2
16.6%
1-0
25.1%
2-1
5.4%
3-2
0.4%
4-3
<0%
+1
30.9%
32.2%
Draw
0-0
21.8%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
1%
3-3
<0%
0
32.2%
11.9%
Win probability
Corticella
0.37
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.1%
-1
10%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Marignanese
+3%
-43%
Corticella

Points and table prediction

Marignanese
Their league position
Corticella
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
28
14º
16º
16º
16
11º
18º
18º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
18º
Current table Final expectations
PK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Aglianese
61
70
32%
Fiorenzuola
58
71
38%
Lentigione
58
66
54%
Pro Livorno
42
51
40%
Real Forte Querceta
42
48
17%
Rimini
41
50
15%
Prato
41
51
17%
Forli
38
44
10º
8%
Sammaurese
36
47
9%
Mezzolara
10º
34
43
11º
8%
Seravezza
11º
34
39
14º
11%
Progresso
12º
34
43
12º
9%
Correggese
13º
33
47
8%
Ghivizzano Borgo
14º
33
38
15º
13%
Bagnolese
15º
31
41
13º
14%
Marignanese
16º
28
34
16º
39%
Sasso Marconi
17º
28
33
17º
44%
Corticella
18º
16
20
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Marignanese
Corticella
Champion
0% 0%
Promotion playoffs
0% 0%
Mid-table
5% 0%
Relegation playoffs
53% 0%
Relegation
42% 100%

ELO progression

Corticella
COR
Marignanese
MAR
Aglianese
ACA
Progresso
PRO
Rimini
RIM
Bagnolese
BAG
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Marignanese
Marignanese
1%
X%
2%
ELO MAR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
14 Mar. 2021
FIO
Fiorenzuola
4 - 2
Marignanese
MAR
41%
28%
31%
282 212 -70 0
24 Feb. 2021
MAR
Marignanese
1 - 1
Seravezza
SER
46%
27%
27%
282 314 -32 0
20 Feb. 2021
ACA
Aglianese
1 - 0
Marignanese
MAR
47%
27%
26%
283 428 145 -1
14 Feb. 2021
RIM
Rimini
2 - 2
Marignanese
MAR
49%
26%
25%
283 396 113 0
07 Feb. 2021
MAR
Marignanese
2 - 1
Forli
FOR
47%
27%
26%
284 222 62 -2

Matches

Corticella
Corticella
1%
X%
2%
ELO COR ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Feb. 2021
COR
Corticella
1 - 3
Forli
FOR
47%
27%
26%
276 221 55 -2
24 Feb. 2021
ACP
Prato
3 - 1
Corticella
COR
47%
27%
26%
278 309 31 -2
21 Feb. 2021
COR
Corticella
1 - 1
Bagnolese
BAG
28%
26%
47%
277 1118 -841 +1
07 Apr. 2021
COR
Corticella
4 - 2
Mezzolara
MEZ
47%
27%
26%
277 197 80 0
07 Feb. 2021
PRO
Pro Livorno
1 - 0
Corticella
COR
47%
27%
26%
278 304 26 -1